Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.854816 3.165326 3.500833 3.891155 4.333842 4.821558 5.401239
2025-04-20 2.393032 2.808349 3.288244 3.887038 4.618722 5.489478 6.612793
2025-04-27 2.135717 2.614562 3.196461 3.962524 4.954672 6.210226 7.941799
2025-05-04 1.951526 2.471601 3.129924 4.035639 5.267020 6.908721 9.307445
2025-05-11 1.797839 2.342754 3.056688 4.076610 5.522808 7.541247 10.646509
2025-05-18 1.669234 2.229765 2.986622 4.104488 5.750322 8.144677 12.007159
2025-05-25 1.516331 2.067405 2.830327 3.989022 5.750108 8.404636 12.866464
2025-06-01 1.406570 1.954764 2.731697 3.943204 5.841284 8.801763 13.981328
2025-06-08 1.316820 1.862708 2.653412 3.917228 5.954831 9.238194 15.209171
2025-06-15 1.279057 1.843147 2.679153 4.050822 6.331102 10.137027 17.356942
2025-06-22 1.208976 1.769226 2.615572 4.035111 6.457039 10.622832 18.819705
2025-06-29 1.139132 1.690497 2.538048 3.988560 6.523320 11.006904 20.137562
2025-07-06 1.039065 1.559797 2.371806 3.784874 6.303935 10.865556 20.429419
2025-07-13 0.991965 1.510174 2.332594 3.793579 6.463431 11.442317 22.272318
2025-07-20 0.962035 1.485963 2.332708 3.869478 6.751656 12.295921 24.839085
2025-07-27 0.933570 1.462020 2.331042 3.941081 7.037564 13.177507 27.618629
2025-08-03 0.901669 1.430126 2.313230 3.981022 7.265002 13.965928 30.322195
2025-08-10 0.870013 1.396556 2.289930 4.008151 7.468544 14.727263 33.097831
2025-08-17 0.818621 1.326084 2.197106 3.895871 7.376950 14.837124 34.259670
2025-08-24 0.781476 1.278323 2.141780 3.851311 7.420924 15.251574 36.283473
2025-08-31 0.749776 1.238401 2.098128 3.826047 7.502841 15.761349 38.658682
2025-09-07 0.741891 1.240369 2.131185 3.955970 7.933374 17.141885 43.747319
2025-09-14 0.714753 1.206030 2.094388 3.940692 8.039811 17.754657 46.740130